The famous groundhog sees usually six weeks of winter, Punxsutawney Phil, in 2011, but the forecast is for spring. Given his record, but do not celebrate just yet.
repeat in the middle of snow days this movie is more than a bit of "Groundhog Day" reminds Punxsutawney Phil has predicted that spring is early this year.
The following paragraphWe all want to believe, but what good is word of Phil?
After StormFax Almanac Phil saw his shadow and predicted six more weeks of winter 99 of 115 times, or about 86 percent of the time. But if Phil February 2nd Annual forecasts with historical data to Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, is compared, the weather was right in rodents only about 39 percent of the time.
This list is worse than if Phil had thrown a coin, but maybe he should not feel too bad. experienced meteorologists have difficulty accurately predict temperatures for another week in advance, according to a Freakonomics blog after 2008.
It therefore follows, Phil, because your fans will be cheering next year, even if the winter of 2011 a little longer to make than you predicted.
RELATED: five little known facts of Punxsutawney Phil and Groundhog Day
Tidak ada komentar:
Posting Komentar